The Economy of Thailand – The Next Japan? | thai bond market association

by Nguyen Giang
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The Economy of Thailand – The Next Japan?


นอกจากการดูบทความนี้แล้ว คุณยังสามารถดูข้อมูลที่เป็นประโยชน์อื่นๆ อีกมากมายที่เราให้ไว้ที่นี่: ดูเพิ่มเติม

The Thailand Economy is one of the largest South East Asian economies. It is surrounded by fast growing countries and for a lot of the last few decades, the Thai economy has been a fast growing one.
There is a risk to the Thai economy though and that risk is Japanification. The economy of Thailand is very much heading towards Japanification, which means a period of low growth, low inflation and not really know how to deal with it.
Going back in time though, the Thai economy has been on a rollercoaster ride. Thailand is known for the coups it has on a seemingly regular basis and this video goes back to the 1957 coup to start with.
The Thai Economy needed some help and the US was happy to do so. The coup helped install a leader that was happy to cut ties with China, in favour of the US. Economic aid from the US was invested sensibly and the Thai economy started to grow quickly.
This was until the 1970s. Like a lot of countries, the economy of Thailand was negatively impacted by factors out of their control. Oil prices were spiking, the US was pulling back investment in the Thai economy and Thailand found itself surrounded by Communist countries. All of these made it more challenging to grow the Thailand economy.
Unfortunately, at the same time, the Thai Government wasn’t running the country that well either. Large budget deficits put pressure on Thai bonds, making it more expensive to borrow to invest in key projects to boost the Thai economy.
At the time, the Thai Baht was pegged to a series of currencies including the dollar, pound, yen and mark. The Plaza Accord in 1985 helped the Thai economy massively. A depreciating currency led to an increase in exports. In 1988, exports increased by over 25% alone!
As with all booms, there is always a bust not too far away and the Asian Financial Crisis hit the Thai economy in a big way. The Thailand economy declined by over 12% in 2 years. The Thai Baht was floated freely on global markets and depreciated by over 50% within a few months.
Skipping forward a few years to today’s version of the Thailand economy. That’s where the key risk of Japanification comes in. Thailand is going through a growth slowdown, with inflation around zero. Policy makers aren’t cutting interest rates or using fiscal policy to boost growth.
But it’s not just that. Thailand’s demographics are very similar to Japan’s when the Japanese economy started to decline about 30 years ago.
So is the economy of Thailand, the next Japan? Stay tuned to find out.
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The Economy of Thailand - The Next Japan?

ICMA Report: The Asian International Bond Markets


Annual issuance of crossborder bonds from Asia has increased more than fivefold from USD 107 billion in 2006 to USD 575 billion in 2020.
In an effort to understand this remarkable growth, ICMA, with the support of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), has published a new report The Asian International Bond Markets: Development and Trends, exploring the evolution of the international bond market in Asia over the last 15 years and the factors contributing to the current picture of overall regional market activity. The report draws upon both quantitative issuance and trading data, as well as qualitative research and insights from market practitioners.
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ICMA Report: The Asian International Bond Markets

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Foreign investment in Thai bonds hits record high


The Thai Bond Market Association has revealed that foreign investment in Thai bonds has reached a record high.

Foreign investment in Thai bonds hits record high

นอกจากการดูหัวข้อนี้แล้ว คุณยังสามารถเข้าถึงบทวิจารณ์ดีๆ อื่นๆ อีกมากมายได้ที่นี่: ดูบทความเพิ่มเติมในหมวดหมู่Investement

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